Learning goal: Understand the concept, identify it on a chart, and apply it with controlled risk.
1Learn
Risk-to-reward
A practical, structured path with chart-based learning and knowledge checks.
Study Risk-to-reward through the explanation below, then use replay to observe how price develops candle by candle. Focus on evidence, context, and risk—not prediction.
A strong trading decision combines context, confirmation, and predefined risk. One signal alone is never a guarantee.
2See an example
Risk-to-reward
Risk-to-reward
A strong trading decision combines context, confirmation, and predefined risk. One signal alone is never a guarantee.
A strong trading decision combines context, confirmation, and predefined risk. One signal alone is never a guarantee.
Reward estimates need probability and execution context
Risk-to-reward compares planned downside with a realistic target. A 2R target means potential reward is twice initial risk, but the ratio alone says nothing about the probability of reaching it.
Place invalidation and target at evidence-based market levels before calculating the ratio. Include spread, commission and slippage, especially on short timeframes where costs consume a larger share of expected reward.
Avoid stretching a target solely to manufacture an attractive ratio. Review expectancy across a sufficient sample: win rate, average win, average loss and execution consistency belong together.
3Practice
Practice
Guided practice
در یک Long، Entry=75، Stop=72 و Target=82.5 است. Risk Distance، Reward Distance و Potential R را حساب کنید. اگر Risk Amount اولیه ۱۶۰ دلار و سود واقعی خروج ۲۸۰ دلار باشد، Realized R چقدر است؟
?↔✓
Concept Choice
💡 The emphasized element is a clue; still submit the answer yourself. Risk Distance=3، Reward Distance=7.5 و Potential R=7.5/3=2.5R. Realized R=280/160=+1.75R.
Expected answer
Risk Distance=3، Reward Distance=7.5 و Potential R=7.5/3=2.5R. Realized R=280/160=+1.75R.
Assisted practice
برای Short با Entry=320، Stop=328 و Target=300، نسبت را محاسبه کنید. اگر معامله با ۰٫۵ برابر فاصله ریسک به سود بسته شود، نتیجه بر حسب R چیست؟
?↔✓
Concept Choice
Expected answer
Risk Distance=8، Reward Distance=20، پس Potential R=2.5R. سودی برابر نصف فاصله ریسک، با فرض ارزش خطی و حجم ثابت، +0.5R است.
Independent practice
سیستم الف Target اسمی 3R و Win Rate مشاهدهشده ۲۸٪ دارد. سیستم ب Target اسمی 1.5R و Win Rate ۴۸٪ دارد. آیا فقط با این اطلاعات میتوان برنده را اعلام کرد؟ چه دادههایی کم است؟
?↔✓
Concept Choice
Expected answer
خیر. Target اسمی الزاماً Average Win نیست. حداقل Average Win و Average Loss تحققیافته، هزینهها، تعداد و کیفیت نمونه، Slippage و ثبات قواعد لازم است. میتوان محاسبه مقدماتی کرد، اما نتیجه قطعی نیست.